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IMA Journal of Management Mathematics 1999 10(1):1-14; doi:10.1093/imaman/10.1.1
© 1999 by Institute of Mathematics and its Applications
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Optimal smoothing of accounting earnings

JOHN A LANE and ROGER J. WILLETT

Department of Mathematics, University of Wales Aberystwyth SY23 3BZ, U.K.
School of Accountancy, Queensland University of Technology Brisbane, Australia

Accountants seeking to estimate the profitability of a firm via the calculation of earnings utilize information about the number and current lifespan of unfinished activities by incorporating a smoothing device—depreciation—into their calculations. This paper considers a firm in steady state, carrying out a large number of similar activities with random starts and completion dates. By developing a stochastic model for the firm's activities, a difference equation for the minimum-variance smoothing function is obtained. This can be solved explicitly in the case of a periodic Poisson process of start times and independent exponential durations and is a variant of declining-balance depreciation.

Keywords: Stochastic model; accountancy; periodic Poisson process; optimal smoothing; depreciation; declining balance


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